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Key mobile app market trends and predictions for 2026
As we kick off 2026, app marketing and development teams are working in an environment shaped by wider use of AI in analysis, more fragmented user journeys across platforms, and increasing reliance on automated systems to support decision-making.
Across regions and verticals, contexts vary, but teams tend to grapple with the same underlying questions around attribution, creative performance, finding high LTV users, and driving ROI-positive business outcomes.
With that in mind, let’s dive into Adjust’s predictions for mobile marketing in 2026.
1. From mobile-first to multi-platform
Teams will increasingly need measurement that connects performance across mobile app, mobile web, desktop web, and other surfaces/platforms, rather than treating each as an operational silo.
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Andrey Kazakov
CEO, Adjust
2. From dashboards to decision-ready insights
Static dashboards will matter less than analytics that provide context and support real decisions.
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Andrey Kazakov
CEO, Adjust
3. Linking will play a larger role in growth performance
The way users are routed between ads, app stores, and in-app destinations will increasingly influence conversion efficiency and downstream value.
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Karthik Kannan
Lead Product Engineer, Adjust
4. Aggregated signals will play a bigger role in personalization
As personalization becomes harder to deliver at an individual level, advertisers are rethinking what effective personalization looks like in practice.
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Greg Wang
Regional Vice President, Americas, Adjust
5. Predictive analytics will reward the teams that stick with it
It’s becoming increasingly important for mobile marketing and development teams to incorporate predictive analytics into their measurement and optimization frameworks, at risk of being left behind.
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Fernando Cabral
Director of Growth, LATAM, Adjust
6. The mobile games industry in Europe will continue on its growth trajectory
In 2026, the mobile games industry in Europe continues to expand, with growth anchored in monetization, retention, and long-term user value rather than sheer install volume.
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Cansu Agaoglu
Director of Europe, Adjust
7. Paid and organic performance will be evaluated together, while CPI becomes less central
The effects of paid campaigns on organic traffic are becoming more visible, while measures of engagement and purchase intent are increasingly used to assess campaign quality.
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Başak Zerman
Director, Middle East, Türkiye, and Africa, Adjust
8. AI-native entertainment will shape China’s digital ecosystem
AI is becoming embedded directly into how digital entertainment is built and experienced, particularly across consumer-facing apps developed in China.
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Chris Rupp
Regional VP Sales, China, Adjust
9. APAC app growth will diverge across markets
Different markets across APAC will be driven by distinct user behaviors, platform preferences, and category dynamics.
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April Tayson
Regional VP, INSEAU, Adjust
10. Integration will define app marketing in Japan
User journeys in Japan will increasingly span app, web, and offline touchpoints, making end-to-end visibility and unified measurement essential.
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Naoki Sassa
General Manager, Japan, Adjust
Measurement as the foundation for 2026
The perspectives shared here set out how different parts of the mobile app market are expected to develop in 2026, based on the realities teams are seeing on the ground today. We’ll be continuing these conversations throughout the year as markets, platforms, and measurement practices develop further, ensuring we always build the solutions our clients need to succeed.
If you’re working through similar questions around growth and measurement, get in touch with your Adjust contact person for more information, or request a demo today to see first-hand how we can grow your app business.
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