App market predictions 2026

Key mobile app market trends and predictions for 2026

As we kick off 2026, app marketing and development teams are working in an environment shaped by wider use of AI in analysis, more fragmented user journeys across platforms, and increasing reliance on automated systems to support decision-making.

Across regions and verticals, contexts vary, but teams tend to grapple with the same underlying questions around attribution, creative performance, finding high LTV users, and driving ROI-positive business outcomes. 

With that in mind, let’s dive into Adjust’s predictions for mobile marketing in 2026.

1. From mobile-first to multi-platform

Teams will increasingly need measurement that connects performance across mobile app, mobile web, desktop web, and other surfaces/platforms, rather than treating each as an operational silo.

Andrey Kazakov

CEO, Adjust

2. From dashboards to decision-ready insights

Static dashboards will matter less than analytics that provide context and support real decisions.

Andrey Kazakov

CEO, Adjust

3. Linking will play a larger role in growth performance

The way users are routed between ads, app stores, and in-app destinations will increasingly influence conversion efficiency and downstream value.

Karthik Kannan

Lead Product Engineer, Adjust

4. Aggregated signals will play a bigger role in personalization

As personalization becomes harder to deliver at an individual level, advertisers are rethinking what effective personalization looks like in practice.

Greg Wang

Regional Vice President, Americas, Adjust

5. Predictive analytics will reward the teams that stick with it

It’s becoming increasingly important for mobile marketing and development teams to incorporate predictive analytics into their measurement and optimization frameworks, at risk of being left behind.

Fernando Cabral

Director of Growth, LATAM, Adjust

6. The mobile games industry in Europe will continue on its growth trajectory

In 2026, the mobile games industry in Europe continues to expand, with growth anchored in monetization, retention, and long-term user value rather than sheer install volume.

Cansu Agaoglu

Director of Europe, Adjust

7. Paid and organic performance will be evaluated together, while CPI becomes less central

The effects of paid campaigns on organic traffic are becoming more visible, while measures of engagement and purchase intent are increasingly used to assess campaign quality.

Başak Zerman

Director, Middle East, Türkiye, and Africa, Adjust

8. AI-native entertainment will shape China’s digital ecosystem

AI is becoming embedded directly into how digital entertainment is built and experienced, particularly across consumer-facing apps developed in China.

Chris Rupp

Regional VP Sales, China, Adjust

9. APAC app growth will diverge across markets

Different markets across APAC will be driven by distinct user behaviors, platform preferences, and category dynamics.

April Tayson

Regional VP, INSEAU, Adjust

10. Integration will define app marketing in Japan

User journeys in Japan will increasingly span app, web, and offline touchpoints, making end-to-end visibility and unified measurement essential.

Naoki Sassa

General Manager, Japan, Adjust

Measurement as the foundation for 2026

The perspectives shared here set out how different parts of the mobile app market are expected to develop in 2026, based on the realities teams are seeing on the ground today. We’ll be continuing these conversations throughout the year as markets, platforms, and measurement practices develop further, ensuring we always build the solutions our clients need to succeed. 

If you’re working through similar questions around growth and measurement, get in touch with your Adjust contact person for more information, or request a demo today to see first-hand how we can grow your app business.

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